Product screenshot · DEUCEDEUCE Tennis Forecast
Calibrated tennis forecasts, player analysis, and tournament simulations for ATP and WTA, with a daily modeling pipeline.
87,957 matches in walk-forward evaluation
Maintained product · data refreshes hourly · model retrains daily
Evidence & design
Across 87,957 walk-forward matches, the ensemble reached 0.1950 ATP and 0.2017 WTA Brier scores; the product serves forecasts for both tours.
- 87,957 matches in walk-forward evaluation
Measured evaluation
45,831 ATP and 42,126 WTA scored matches, evaluated chronologically
Evaluation methodology notes- 0.1950 ATP Brier score
Measured evaluation
five-seed calibrated XGBoost ensemble; 69.6% walk-forward accuracy
Evaluation methodology notes- 0.2017 WTA Brier score
Measured evaluation
five-seed calibrated XGBoost ensemble; 68.5% walk-forward accuracy
Evaluation methodology notes
Scope. The closing market remains stronger on the odds-matched subset: 0.201 Brier versus the model's 0.203. The full evaluation and that subset are different comparisons.
forecast inputs
Four families of match evidence feed one calibrated forecast. Select a signal to see what it adds.
simulated: point → game → set → match → draw